I've been super busy, family, work, life, honest to blog... blah, blah, blah, so I apologize for the lack of writing. I'm about to take the kids out, but I figured I had to get a few chicken scratches out before tonight's big ceremony.
Can't wait for Jon... but let's keep the strike jokes to a minimum - most of the country doesn't care.
Anyway, I wrote about this a while back, but here are my predictions (not what I want to win... what I think will win) for the categories that we care about:
Best Picture: No Country For Old Men will win - I'm feeling 100% confident about this one.
Best Director: The Coen Brothers, No Country For Old Men again - Super high confidence... 100%
Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood. Clooney would have had a shot in any other year that DDL didn't perform. Confidence = 98%
Best Actress: This is a total mystery to me. I'll pick Julie Christie, Away From Her, but it could easily go to Marion Cotillard, who apparently has been making a big late push, and maybe they split the vote and give it to Juno's Ellen Page. Confidence = 35%
Best Supporting Actor: Javier Bardem, No Country For Old Men. This is done and done Friend-o. Confidence = 100%
Best Supporting Actress: Another wide open one. The critics love Amy Ryan and Cate Blanchett, but no one saw those movies and Cate literally just won for The Aviator when she played a real person. I think Tilda Swinton gets this. She's put up a great body of work already, the Academy gets to give a nod to Michael Clayton (which will unfortunately lose everywhere else), and it was one of the three phenomenal performances in my favorite film of the year. Still... confidence = 60%
Best Original Screenplay: I still think Diablo Cody for Juno will win this, but I'm wondering if she's lost some ground to Tony Gilroy's Michael Clayton, just because I'm not sure the Academy wants to put her up onstage (you know... the whole former stripper thing), but it's really the one script that everyone talked about all season. Confidence = 85%
Best Adapted Screenplay: It seems like the Coens should get this, but I'm still wondering if there's enough sentiment to give something to There Will Be Blood. I'm picking No Country For Old Men, but I'll put it at 75% confidence.